Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | SkyLove7 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,288 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 7d |  gangwarharshit | ↓ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,364 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | gangwarharshit | ↓ 79,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 7d |  Tttyh | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,476 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 7d |  Facaie | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,792 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 7d | Facaie | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,888 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 7d | Noteagle | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,984 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 7d | Tttyh | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,964 | +$38 +0.2% | 2 |
| 7d |  walnascar | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 7d | Navigator77 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$26 +0.7% | 2 |
| 8d | Vipine | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$40 +4.0% | 2 |
| 8d | gangwarharshit | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,690 | +$95 +3.5% | 2 |
| 8d | trx1 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,862 | +$49 +1.0% | 2 |
| 8d | shaillakhani | ↓ 81,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,479 | −$76 −1.0% | — |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,785 | +$87 +2.3% | 2 |
| 8d | 0x2f88…dfd3 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | 0x2f88…dfd34 fills | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes26¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$13,007 +289% | 11 |
| 8d | 0x2f88…dfd32 fills | ↓ 81,000 | SellYes25¢ → 100¢ | $3,028 | −$8,900 −294% | — |
| 8d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | shaillakhani | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | shaillakhani | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$5,255 +228% | 7 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $4,701 | −$4,701 −100% | 3 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | −$1,002 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,806 | +$164 +3.4% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 81,000 means the market gives it about 100%.