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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,743 | +$749 +11% | 3 |
| 6d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $3,697 | −$3,697 −100% | 4 |
| 6d |  upont | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,950 | +$20 +0.4% | 2 |
| 6d |  justdance | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,697 | +$201 +12% | 3 |
| 6d | Hateful-Sickness | ↓ 81,000 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,479 | −$215 −8.7% | — |
| 6d | shaillakhani | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 6d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,024 | +$210 +7.0% | 2 |
| 6d | Navigator77 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$23 +0.7% | 2 |
| 6d | 0x2f88…dfd3 | ↓ 81,000 | SellYes44¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$1,409 −127% | — |
| 6d | Navigator772 fills | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 6d | Vipine | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$21 +2.1% | 2 |
| 6d | trx1 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
cyfra2,060 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 17?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.