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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d |  gangwarharshit | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,079 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d |  Facaie | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,845 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | Facaie2 fills | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,935 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d |  upont | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,234 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 5d |  Tttyh | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,638 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | lingke | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,850 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | Hateful-Sickness | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,130 | −$1,130 −100% | 5 |
| 6d | bZk0Uo | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,112 | +$130 +4.2% | 2 |
| 6d | shaillakhani | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $2,561 | −$2,561 −100% | 6 |
| 6d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,627 | +$1,353 +52% | 4 |
| 6d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$823 +23% | 3 |
| 6d | trx1 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,428 | +$32 +1.3% | 2 |
| 6d | 0x2f88…dfd3 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 9 |
| 6d | 0x2f88…dfd3 | ↓ 81,000 | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $3,947 | −$1,638 −41% | — |
| 6d | shaillakhani | ↓ 81,000 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,852 | −$865 −18% | — |
| 6d | Cactus-0013 fills | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,845 | +$150 +3.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 83,000 means the market gives it about 0%.