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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,915 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 4d | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 4d | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,564 | +$43 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 4d | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,153 | +$31 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 4d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $3,366 | −$3,366 −100% | 5 |
| 5d | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,006 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 5d | trx12 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,751 | +$399 +5.9% | 2 |
| 5d | Vipine | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 5d | Navigator77 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,940 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | Navigator77 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 5d | shaillakhani | ↑ 84,000 | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,921 | +$49 +2.6% | 2 |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | +$268 +16% | 3 |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,524 | +$188 +4.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 19?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 81,000 means the market gives it about 0%.