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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d |  upont3 fills | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,601 | +$55 +0.7% | 2 |
| 2d |  gangwarharshit2 fills | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,683 | +$39 +0.6% | 2 |
| 2d | Cavernous-Agriculture | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,251 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | gangwarharshit | ↑ 87,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,140 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | upont | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,950 | +$20 +0.4% | 2 |
| 2d | 0xDB5 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$45 +3.2% | 2 |
| 2d | lingke | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,350 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 2d | Winged-Dumbwaiter-Tonality | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | +$17 +1.1% | 2 |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo38¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$1,852 +163% | 5 |
| 2d |  soylentgoy | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d |  gugu-gaga | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,600 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 2d | gugu-gaga2 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,800 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 2d | Navigator772 fills | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,110 | +$21 +0.4% | 2 |
| 2d | Navigator77 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 2d |  Facaie2 fills | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,137 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d |  justdance | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,869 | +$151 +8.1% | 2 |
| 2d | Vipine | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$21 +2.1% | 2 |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,063 | −$1,063 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | Facaie | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | Mundane-Maternity-Sovereignty | ↑ 85,000 | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,747 | +$2,747 +100% | — |
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$61 +5.3% | 2 |
| 3d | justdance | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $3,578 | +$1,392 +39% | 4 |
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$120 +6.4% | 2 |
| 3d | justdance | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,626 | +$168 +6.4% | 2 |
KOMZY1,002 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 21?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 82,000 means the market gives it about 0%.