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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −91 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,990 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d |  gangwarharshit | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,175 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,494 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | Dou123 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$20 +1.7% | 2 |
| 1d |  Pafuta | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$36 +3.3% | 2 |
| 1d | lingke | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,900 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | trx1 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,492 | +$20 +0.8% | 2 |
| 1d | trx1 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,716 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 1d |  walnascar | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 1d |  olegs | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,230 | +$26 +0.6% | 2 |
| 1d | olegs | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$33 +1.3% | 2 |
| 2d | Navigator772 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,370 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 2d | trx1 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,350 | +$150 +6.4% | 2 |
| 2d | Mynamer1 | ↓ 80,000 | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,559 | +$1,559 +100% | — |
| 2d |  Facaie | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,215 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | Tokor | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | +$3,509 +186% | 6 |
| 2d |  justdance | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,535 | −$2,535 −100% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 22?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.