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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $59.4K | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $42.5K | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $36.6K | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $20.5K | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $3.37K | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $2.32K | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $2.26K | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $2K | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.37K | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $1.28K | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $30 | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19h | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,150 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 19h | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,149 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 19h | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,916 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 20h | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,930 | +$40 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 20h | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,347 | +$83 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 20h | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,142 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 22h | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,213 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 22h | Winged-Dumbwaiter-Tonality | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,263 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 1d | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,497 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 1d | Navigator77 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,290 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 1d | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,122 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 1d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,220 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 1d | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,400 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 1d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 1d | ↑ 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,584 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 23?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.