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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 79,000 | 16% | — | — | 16¢ · 16¢ (<1¢) | $33.6K | in 13h |
| ↓ 80,000 | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $33.1K | in 13h |
| ↑ 82,000 | 9% | — | — | 8¢ · 10¢ (2¢) | $31K | in 13h |
| ↓ 78,000 | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $22.8K | in 13h |
| ↓ 77,000 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $13.1K | in 13h |
| ↑ 83,000 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $11K | in 13h |
| ↑ 84,000 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $6.4K | in 13h |
| ↓ 73,000 | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | $3.15K | in 13h |
| ↓ 74,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $2.71K | in 13h |
| ↓ 76,000 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.91K | in 13h |
| ↓ 75,000 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $1.87K | in 13h |
| ↑ 85,000 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $100 | in 13h |
| ↑ 88,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $15 | in 13h |
| ↑ 87,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $15 | in 13h |
| ↑ 86,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $15 | in 13h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23m | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes89¢ → >99¢ | $1,425 | +$175 +12% | 3 |
Facaie1,499 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 24?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 16¢ for ↓ 79,000 means the market gives it about 16%.