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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 85,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 84,000 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d |  upont | ↓ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,065 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 20d | upont | ↓ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,935 | +$40 +0.8% | 2 |
| 20d |  CoinTrick | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,733 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 20d | duneprod1 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,990 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 21d | shaillakhani | ↓ 84,000 | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
DrTie40 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 3?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 85,000 means the market gives it about 100%.