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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 84,000 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d |  Tttyh | ↓ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 19d | lee8862 fills | ↓ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$60 +0.6% | 2 |
| 19d | Tianhe | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,022 | +$93 +4.6% | 2 |
| 19d | johnsalchichon | ↑ 86,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,988 | +$91 +3.0% | 2 |
| 19d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | +$810 +37% | 4 |
KOMZY928 shares
RizkyMuda100 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 4?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 84,000 means the market gives it about 0%.