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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 84,000 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 85,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 86,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 93,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 94,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | Doomster | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 18d | Tianhe | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,249 | +$36 +0.9% | 2 |
| 18d | Egozic86 | ↓ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,050 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 18d | Noteagle | ↓ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,685 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 18d |  walnascar | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 18d | Navigator77 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,890 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 18d | 0xvanilla | ↓ 83,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$19 +1.8% | 2 |
| 19d |  justdance5 fills | ↓ 84,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $19,327 | +$2,223 +12% | 3 |
| 19d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 83,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$54 +5.3% | 2 |
| 19d | Cactus-001 | ↓ 86,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,771 | +$199 +4.2% | 2 |
RizkyMuda1,020 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 5?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 84,000 means the market gives it about 0%.