Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,631 | +$29 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 16d | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 16d | jjjclv6 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | Luna2002 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,840 | +$160 +4.2% | 2 |
| 17d | Navigator77 | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | ↑ 89,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 17d | Navigator77 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 17d | Delayed-Blend | ↓ 82,000 | SellYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,436 | +$1,436 +100% | — |
| 17d | shaillakhani | ↓ 83,000 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,543 +62% | 4 |
| 17d | shaillakhani | ↓ 82,000 | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 17d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,807 | +$105 +2.8% | 2 |
| 17d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,977 | +$166 +2.1% | 2 |
| 17d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,293 | +$427 +4.1% | 2 |
| 17d | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$177 +16% | 3 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 7?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 82,000 means the market gives it about 0%.