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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | Tianhe | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$16 +1.2% | 2 |
| 15d | jjjclv6 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 15d | Winged-Dumbwaiter-Tonality | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,105 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 15d |  walnascar | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 15d |  olegs | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 15d |  DrTie | ↓ 80,000 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | −$94 −8.7% | — |
| 15d | shaillakhani | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 6 |
| 15d | Navigator77 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | +$28 +1.0% | 2 |
| 15d | Navigator77 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$55 +2.7% | 2 |
| 15d | Navigator77 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$16 +0.8% | 2 |
| 15d |  justdance | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,076 | +$354 +8.7% | 3 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | +$97 +7.1% | 2 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,821 | +$149 +3.1% | 2 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$1,440 +92% | 4 |
| 15d | justdance | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,994 | +$546 +9.1% | 3 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,362 | +$178 +7.5% | 2 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$315 +18% | 3 |
| 15d | shaillakhani | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$3,012 +223% | 5 |
| 16d |  Bare-Fellow | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 4 |
justdance1,031 shares
KOMZY457 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 8?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.