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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −75 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d |  Facaie | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | Navigator77 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,910 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | Navigator77 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d |  walnascar | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,496 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 15d | shaillakhani | ↓ 82,000 | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $2,350 | −$2,350 −100% | 5 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | +$256 +15% | 3 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,129 | +$687 +7.5% | 2 |
| 15d | shaillakhani | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $2,450 | −$2,450 −100% | 6 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 9?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 83,000 means the market gives it about 100%.