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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,187 | +$59 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 43d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,634 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 43d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,232 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 43d | lannnn | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 43d | Boring-Jewelry | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$17 +1.5% | 2 |
| 43d | Dou123 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | +$66 +4.3% | 2 |
| 43d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,081 | +$148 +2.9% | 2 |
| 43d | jjjclv6 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 43d | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 43d | Navigator77 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 43d | Navigator77 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 44d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | +$56 +3.1% | 2 |
| 44d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,343 | +$129 +3.9% | 2 |
| 44d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | +$219 +15% | 3 | |
| 44d | ↓ 77,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,922 | +$100 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 44d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,138 | +$874 +41% | 4 |
| 44d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$89 +8.7% | 3 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 10?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 76,000 means the market gives it about 0%.