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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42d |  upont | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,445 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | Mizukaze | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,038 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Mizukaze | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | Dou123 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
| 42d |  Tttyh | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d |  walnascar | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,498 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d | Navigator77 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d | Navigator77 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | +$80 +4.2% | 2 |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$1,080 +56% | 4 |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,772 | +$28 +1.6% | 2 |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | +$64 +3.7% | 2 |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,408 | −$1,408 −100% | 3 |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,138 | +$113 +5.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 11?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 76,000 means the market gives it about 0%.