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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41d |  Tttyh | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,013 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 41d | Tttyh | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,208 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | Mizukaze | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | Velova | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,406 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Navigator77 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | Navigator77 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,400 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 78,000 means the market gives it about 0%.