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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −76 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38d |  Tttyh | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,658 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d | Tttyh | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,024 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d |  upont | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,022 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 38d | Dou123 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,584 | +$16 +0.6% | 2 |
| 38d | jjjclv611 fills | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $54,050 | +$54 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d |  Bare-Fellow | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | −$44 −2.3% | — |
| 38d | Tttyh | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,942 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d | Krejza68 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$120 +6.4% | 3 |
| 38d |  walnascar | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 38d | Krejza68 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,940 | +$30 +0.6% | 2 |
| 38d |  Facaie | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 38d | 0x8afad0586ce511ac9be1f7d6b4b86a360794b008 | ↓ 75,000 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | −$128 −11% | — |
| 38d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,181 | +$1,574 +38% | 4 |
| 38d |  justdance | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $3,582 | −$3,582 −100% | 4 |
| 38d | Navigator77 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 38d | Navigator77 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$29 +1.0% | 2 |
| 38d | Bare-Fellow | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$579 +34% | 4 |
| 38d | Elastic-Mime | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | +$255 +18% | 3 |
00dd860 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on September 15?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 79,000 means the market gives it about 0%.