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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 76,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | Elastic-Mime | ↑ 79,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,888 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 37d | Tianhe | ↑ 77,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | −$40 −3.0% | — |
| 37d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,976 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 37d |  upont | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 37d |  Tttyh | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,615 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 37d | mr.NobodyNowhere2 fills | ↑ 77,000 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,361 | −$619 −26% | — |
| 37d | Tianhe | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$260 +10% | 3 |
| 37d | Dou123 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,716 | +$84 +3.1% | 2 |
| 37d | jjjclv6 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,000 | +$41 +0.3% | 2 |
| 37d | jjjclv62 fills | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,995 | +$22 +0.3% | 2 |
| 37d | jjjclv6 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,500 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 37d | magcidwa | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,300 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 37d | Tttyh | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,024 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 37d | mr.NobodyNowhere | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$144 +14% | 3 |
| 37d |  olegs2 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,900 | +$40 +0.4% | 2 |
| 37d | olegs2 fills | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,080 | +$34 +0.4% | 2 |
| 37d |  walnascar | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,490 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 37d | mingxyz | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 |
| 37d |  justdance | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,798 | +$216 +4.5% | 2 |
| 37d | justdance3 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $9,678 | +$1,322 +14% | 3 |
| 37d | Navigator77 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,689 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 37d | Navigator77 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 37d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,083 | +$893 +43% | 4 |
| 37d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | +$89 +5.7% | 2 |
| 37d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$112 +10% | 3 |
| 37d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$171 +15% | 3 |
| 37d | Velova | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,824 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 37d | lmcaimiku | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,488 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 |
| 37d | shaillakhani | ↓ 75,000 | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,698 | −$1,698 −100% | 4 |
| 38d | shezony | ↓ 74,000 | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 38d |  endlesssss | ↑ 77,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | −$1,032 −100% | 4 |
Plaintive-Agreement15 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on September 16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.