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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −79 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35d | Noteagle | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,018 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | Mizukaze | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,949 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 |
| 35d | Mizukaze | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,017 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d | Dou123 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$13 +0.9% | 2 |
| 35d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | +$234 +16% | 3 |
| 35d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,897 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 35d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 35d | Doomster | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,623 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | Navigator77 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$18 +1.3% | 2 |
| 35d | Navigator77 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,465 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d | duneprod1 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,255 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 35d | YautjaPM22 fills | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,548 | +$226 +6.4% | 2 |
| 35d | mathiinfo | ↑ 81,000 | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | −$1,625 −76% | — |
| 35d | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $2,734 | −$2,734 −100% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 82,000 means the market gives it about 0%.