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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34d |  gangwarharshit | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,076 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d |  upont | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 34d | upont | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,373 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | upont | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,679 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 34d | Tianhe | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,738 | +$62 +2.2% | 2 |
| 34d |  Tttyh | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d |  walnascar | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | Navigator77 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,800 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 34d | Navigator77 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,500 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 34d | Noteagle | ↑ 89,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,986 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 82,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $9,130 | −$9,130 −100% | 4 |
| 34d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04526 fills | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $12,808 | +$5,601 +44% | 4 |
| 35d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,750 | +$250 +6.7% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 19?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 81,000 means the market gives it about 100%.