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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d | Cavernous-Agriculture | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,927 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 51d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,508 | −$1,508 −100% | 5 |
| 51d |  Tttyh | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d |  Facaie2 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,974 | +$26 +0.5% | 2 |
| 51d |  lasiweijiasi | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,160 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 51d | Dou123 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,376 | +$24 +1.0% | 2 |
| 51d | Mizukaze | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | Facaie | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 51d |  upont | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,351 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 51d | Noteagle | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,343 | +$27 +0.5% | 2 |
| 51d | smartttt2 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,378 | +$421 +9.6% | 3 |
| 51d |  walnascar | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,188 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 51d | Navigator77 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | Navigator77 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | upont | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,282 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d |  justdance2 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $4,551 | +$2,909 +64% | 4 |
| 52d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,777 | +$53 +3.0% | 2 |
| 52d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$50 +4.0% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 2?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 77,000 means the market gives it about 100%.