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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −71 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33d | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,026 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 33d | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,951 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 33d | jjjclv6 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d | duneprod1 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,152 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 33d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 82,000 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $3,459 | +$2,541 +73% | 4 |
| 33d | jjjclv6 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d | lmcaimiku | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$12 +0.9% | 2 |
| 33d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $4,929 | −$4,929 −100% | 4 |
| 34d | Velova | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 34d | Elastic-Mime | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | +$74 +5.5% | 2 |
| 34d | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $2,959 | −$2,959 −100% | 4 | |
| 34d | lmcaimiku | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 34d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 20?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.