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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −82 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32d | Mizukaze | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,516 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 32d | Mizukaze | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,192 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 32d | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$424 +28% | 3 | |
| 32d | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 33d | ↑ 89,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$435 +27% | 3 | |
| 33d | duneprod1 | ↑ 87,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,903 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 33d | Navigator77 | ↑ 89,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,390 | +$46 +1.4% | 2 |
| 33d | Navigator77 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,170 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 33d | ↑ 88,000 | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 4 | |
| 33d | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 33d | Lkens | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,500 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 33d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,902 | +$212 +11% | 3 |
| 33d | mathiinfo | ↑ 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,706 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | Satil | ↑ 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,552 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 2 |
| 33d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,745 | −$1,745 −100% | 4 |
| 33d | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$66 +6.4% | 2 | |
| 33d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$1,174 +64% | 4 |
| 33d | duneprod1 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,294 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 21?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 88,000 means the market gives it about 0%.