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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 86,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 93,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 85,000 | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 84,000 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | Pockey | ↑ 87,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,500 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 31d |  Tttyh | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,985 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d |  gangwarharshit | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,940 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 31d | Velova | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,690 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 31d | Velova | ↓ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,690 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 31d | Pockey | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$97 +8.8% | 3 |
| 31d |  GoodLuck68886 | ↓ 83,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,028 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 31d | Velova | ↓ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 |
| 31d | Tianhe | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,171 | +$29 +1.3% | 2 |
| 31d | lingke | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,500 | +$20 +0.3% | 2 |
| 31d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | +$42 +2.7% | 2 |
| 31d | Tttyh | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,383 | +$33 +0.2% | 2 |
| 31d |  walnascar | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 31d | Tokor | ↑ 87,000 | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,284 | −$1,284 −100% | 5 |
| 31d |  justdance2 fills | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,550 | +$450 +5.3% | 2 |
| 31d | Navigator77 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,300 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 31d | Navigator77 | ↑ 91,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,360 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 31d |  Facaie | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 31d | Facaie | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,757 | +$12 +0.7% | 2 |
| 31d | Velova | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 31d | strengthinnumbers | ↑ 87,000 | SellNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$920 −85% | — |
| 31d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 87,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 31d | Dou123 | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$255 +18% | 3 |
| 32d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | +$390 +15% | 3 |
| 32d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 89,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,201 | +$299 +5.7% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 22?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 86,000 means the market gives it about 100%.