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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d | Cavernous-Agriculture | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 |
| 29d | lee886 | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | −$48 −2.9% | — |
| 29d | Tianhe | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,175 | +$35 +0.8% | 2 |
| 29d |  upont | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,794 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 29d | Dou123 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,178 | +$19 +0.6% | 2 |
| 29d | Noteagle | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,960 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 29d |  Tttyh | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,791 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | +$84 +5.3% | 2 |
| 29d |  Facaie2 fills | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,976 | +$24 +0.6% | 2 |
| 29d | Facaie | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | +$39 +2.0% | 2 |
| 29d | Facaie | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d |  walnascar | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,001 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d | Doomster | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,001 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 29d | Doomster | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 30d | farthingmore | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | +$72 +4.2% | 2 |
| 30d | Navigator77 | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,520 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | Navigator77 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 30d |  justdance3 fills | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,100 | +$1,071 +21% | 3 |
| 30d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,417 | +$539 +10.0% | 3 |
| 30d | lan008 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,553 | +$37 +2.4% | 2 |
| 30d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 4 |
| 30d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$80 +6.0% | 2 |
| 30d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,723 | +$77 +2.1% | 2 |
endlesssss6,000 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on September 24?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 82,000 means the market gives it about 0%.