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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28d | jjjclv6 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,800 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 28d | Navigator77 | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,430 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 28d | Navigator77 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,615 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | Sharky6999 | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$32 +3.1% | 2 |
| 28d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,897 | +$286 +5.8% | 2 |
| 29d | Lkens | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,687 | +$54 +2.0% | 2 |
| 29d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$168 +16% | 3 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 25?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 86,000 means the market gives it about 0%.