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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,383 | +$59 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 24d | Velova | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 24d | Mizukaze | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,566 | +$38 +0.4% | 2 |
| 24d | Tianhe | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,248 | +$30 +0.9% | 2 |
| 24d | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 24d | Navigator77 | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 24d | Navigator77 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,400 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 24d | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,414 | +$537 +6.4% | 2 | |
| 24d | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,069 | +$162 +5.3% | 2 | |
| 25d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$114 +9.9% | 3 |
| 25d | xuejiao | ↓ 83,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | +$60 +1.2% | 2 |
| 25d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$203 +19% | 3 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 29?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 85,000 means the market gives it about 0%.