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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | Tianhe | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,735 | +$28 +1.0% | 2 |
| 23d |  walnascar | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 24d | Navigator77 | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,040 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 24d | Navigator77 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,040 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 24d |  justdance | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,841 | +$159 +5.6% | 2 |
| 24d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $4,681 | +$2,334 +50% | 4 |
| 24d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$1,020 +52% | 4 |
| 24d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,833 | +$57 +3.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 86,000 means the market gives it about 0%.