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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48d |  Tttyh | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,116 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 79,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,399 | −$59 −1.7% | — |
| 48d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,651 | +$32 +1.2% | 2 |
| 48d |  upont | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,349 | +$21 +0.4% | 2 |
| 48d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,939 | +$202 +3.4% | 2 |
| 48d | Navigator77 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,370 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 48d | Navigator77 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 48d | Navigator77 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 5?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.