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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −91 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$24 +2.0% | 2 |
| 45d | Mizukaze | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,392 | +$23 +0.3% | 2 |
| 45d | Mizukaze | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,041 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 45d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 45d | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,026 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 45d | Noteagle | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 45d | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,991 | +$1,000 +33% | 4 | |
| 45d | Navigator77 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$9 +0.7% | 2 |
| 45d | Navigator77 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | Navigator77 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 46d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | +$441 +27% | 3 |
| 46d | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,560 | −$2,560 −100% | 4 | |
| 46d | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,075 | +$895 +22% | 3 | |
| 46d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 78,000 means the market gives it about 100%.