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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −13 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 94,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40d |  upont | ↓ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | upont3 fills | ↓ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,033 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 40d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,117 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 40d |  justdance4 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $5,961 | +$6,441 +108% | 5 |
| 40d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b045210 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $49,943 | +$38,754 +78% | 5 |
| 40d | doubylinkedlist2 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $60,000 | −$60,000 −100% | 4 |
| 40d | doubylinkedlist3 fills | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo28¢ → 100¢ | $9,787 | −$25,543 −261% | — |
| 40d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $5,365 | −$5,365 −100% | 11 |
| 40d | Balenos | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,289 | −$264 −12% | — |
| 40d | Tttyh3 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,804 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 40d | upont | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 40d | lee8862 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$44 +1.1% | 2 |
| 40d | lee886 | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,753 | −$293 −6.2% | — |
| 40d | doubylinkedlist | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,282 | +$233 +3.2% | 2 |
| 40d |  Facaie2 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,860 | +$30 +0.8% | 2 |
| 40d | lee886 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$45 +0.9% | 2 |
| 40d | qqmupup | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 40d | qqmupup2 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,991 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 40d | upont | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 40d | Tttyh | ↓ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,806 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | Tttyh | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,292 | +$24 +0.2% | 2 |
| 40d | Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,412 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 40d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,035 | +$374 +12% | 3 |
| 41d | Rin2x | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | Velova | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$44 +2.7% | 2 |
| 41d | Navigator77 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,500 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 41d | Navigator77 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,500 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 41d | Boring-Jewelry | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$20 +1.7% | 2 |
| 41d | nearping | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,766 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 41d | Facaie2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,854 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 41d | Facaie | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | Facaie2 fills | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,388 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 41d |  LiMoon | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,730 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 41d | lan008 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 41d | jytdfhres | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,604 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | jytfkuyi | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,319 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 41d | giuhjhkg | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,131 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 41d | rtuh56 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,106 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 41d | lee886 | ↑ 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 41d | lee886 | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,376 | −$24 −1.0% | — |
| 41d |  walnascar | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | Balenos | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,056 | +$497 +24% | 3 |
| 41d | qqmupup | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,199 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | Full-Waterfall | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,360 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | Facaie | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 42d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 42d | 0x0a3b…b8b12 fills | ↓ 72,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,866 | −$30 −0.8% | — |
| 42d | 0x0a3b…b8b12 fills | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,882 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 42d | xczvsadcvdsa2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,322 | +$17 +0.5% | 2 |
| 42d | oihjiohj | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,278 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | jhvkhjvkv | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,285 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | hbkhbuik | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,350 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | ESGGESTDFJFXJJR | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,457 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | sergHRTDFJFXJJR | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,537 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | fdxhdrthTDFJFXJJR | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,306 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | TDFJFXJJR | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,911 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | TDFJFXJJR | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,170 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | hrsDHHHBGae | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,470 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | yfhgSWGRE | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,323 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | hdrzhdzh | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,407 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 78,000 means the market gives it about 0%.