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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 0.10 | 100% | +91 pts | +90 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.20 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.15 | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.05 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.10 | 0% | −18 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59d | 0xf705…3ca715 fills | ↑ 0.15 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $55,698 | +$2,044 +3.7% | 2 |
| 63d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | ↑ 0.15 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,298 | −$112 −4.9% | — |
| 63d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↑ 0.15 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$28 +2.4% | 2 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 0.10 means the market gives it about 100%.