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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 0.20 | 100% | +24 pts | +58 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.41 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.12 | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.16 | 0% | −2 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.25 | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.33 | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.37 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.29 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.08 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.45 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | lnarix2 fills | ↓ 0.16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,540 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 296d |  olegs | ↓ 0.12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,552 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 296d | 1231123123 | ↑ 0.33 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,976 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 296d | 1231123123 | ↓ 0.08 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,495 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 296d | 1231123123 | ↑ 0.37 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,176 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 296d | 1231123123 | ↑ 0.45 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 296d | Boniame | ↑ 0.41 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 296d | justamerchant | ↑ 0.41 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,812 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 296d | justamerchant | ↑ 0.45 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 296d | olegs | ↓ 0.16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,176 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 296d | brgdgre | ↓ 0.12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 297d | dgregh | ↓ 0.12 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 |
| 309d |  abhionpoly | ↓ 0.20 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 323d |  ZhangMuZhi- | ↑ 0.29 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,900 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 325d |  Birdof4 fills | ↑ 0.25 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,592 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Ethena hit in December?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 0.20 means the market gives it about 100%.