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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 0.12 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.36 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.32 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.28 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.24 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.20 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.16 | 0% | +2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.08 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.04 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | Wolfku | ↑ 0.32 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 238d | Grilisz | ↑ 0.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,400 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 238d | Grilisz | ↑ 0.28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,899 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 239d | Bamorin | ↑ 0.32 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,759 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 239d | Peterere | ↑ 0.32 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 253d | jinjin29 | ↑ 0.36 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,968 | +$32 +0.8% | 2 |
| 255d | yuyuokok | ↑ 0.32 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,366 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 255d | ranranhao | ↑ 0.32 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,406 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 255d | xgfjxbvnmui8i89 | ↑ 0.36 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 255d | 7565656t | ↑ 0.36 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 255d | 3562465734 | ↑ 0.36 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 255d | xgfjxbvnmui8i89 | ↑ 0.36 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 255d | 3562465734 | ↑ 0.36 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 255d | 7565656t | ↑ 0.36 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 255d | csgtruygfj | ↑ 0.36 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 255d | fnjfgjmf5u75 | ↑ 0.36 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 261d |  CoinTrick | ↓ 0.12 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,438 | +$59 +1.1% | 2 |
What price will Ethena hit in February?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 0.12 means the market gives it about 100%.
