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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 0.37 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.41 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.29 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.12 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.25 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.33 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.08 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.16 | 100% | +50 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.21 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.20 | 100% | +31 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | Dit26978 | ↓ 0.12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,995 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | Dit26978 | ↓ 0.08 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,118 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d |  PicklePredictor | ↑ 0.29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,152 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | Zonye | ↑ 0.29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,978 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Peepee | ↑ 0.37 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,173 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 271d | iamgone | ↓ 0.16 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,966 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 273d | Terrence1992 | ↑ 0.37 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 277d |  Birdof | ↓ 0.20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,981 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d |  alex101 | ↑ 0.25 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,055 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Ethena hit in January?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 0.37 means the market gives it about 0%.