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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 0.30 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.70 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.60 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 0.50 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.20 | 0% | −5 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 0.10 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328d | Gimmaer2 fills | ↑ 0.50 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,650 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 328d | Gimmaer2 fills | ↑ 0.60 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,800 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 328d | Gimmaer | ↓ 0.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,500 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 328d | Gimmaer | ↓ 0.10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,480 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 335d | denilowi | ↓ 0.10 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | +$13 +0.8% | 2 |
| 352d | MAGA.ONE22 fills | ↓ 0.30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $43,956 | +$44 +0.1% | 2 |
| 352d |  AgricultureSecretary | ↓ 0.30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $98,943 | +$198 +0.2% | 2 |
| 352d | PlunderPork4480 | ↓ 0.30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,194 | −$65 −0.9% | — |
| 353d | PiratePig | ↓ 0.30 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,856 | −$52 −2.8% | — |
| 353d | gagagougou3 fills | ↓ 0.30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,246 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | amis | ↓ 0.10 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
What price will Ethena hit in November?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 0.30 means the market gives it about 100%.