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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 5000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 4000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 4700 | 100% | +91 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 4900 | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 4400 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 3900 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 5200 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 4500 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 3800 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 4600 | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 3600 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 4100 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 4200 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425d | iambob | ↑ 5000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,050 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | charry | ↑ 5000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,100 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | samhavir | ↑ 5000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,112 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | banbo | ↑ 5000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,050 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | yaoho | ↑ 5200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,141 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | Sharky6999 | ↑ 5000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,997 | +$107 +1.5% | 2 |
| 425d | jokeety | ↓ 4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,100 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | ↓ 4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,145 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | 3456apple | ↑ 5000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$62 +2.1% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xe3da…a0f93 fills | ↓ 3900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,986 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | ↓ 3800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,490 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | ↓ 3900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,245 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xa95bfdb13 fills | ↑ 5000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $34,935 | +$4,459 +13% | 3 |
| 425d |  stonksgoup4 fills | ↑ 5000 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $16,680 | −$4,070 −24% | — |
| 425d |  donjo | ↑ 5000 | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | −$439 −28% | — |
| 425d | stonksgoup2 fills | ↑ 5000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $6,568 | +$1,452 +22% | 3 |
| 425d | 0xa95bfdb3 fills | ↑ 5000 | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $3,162 | −$3,162 −100% | 9 |
| 425d | Seb90 | ↑ 4900 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 425d | Tiwosn | ↑ 4900 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,840 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 425d | Tiwosn | ↑ 4900 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | +$40 +2.2% | 2 |
| 425d | Bobbyfish2 fills | ↑ 4900 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $6,666 | −$6,666 −100% | 3 |
| 425d | TTbilly | ↑ 5200 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | −$54 −3.3% | — |
| 425d | 0xa95bfdb | ↑ 4900 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,678 | +$893 +33% | 4 |
| 425d | stonksgoup | ↑ 4900 | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,527 | −$1,527 −100% | 5 |
| 425d | TTbilly | ↑ 5200 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,354 | +$46 +1.9% | 2 |
| 426d | LucasMeow | ↓ 4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,797 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 426d |  chuanshangxue | ↑ 4900 | SellYes26¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | −$4,862 −289% | — |
| 426d | the5 | ↑ 4900 | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | +$3,096 +205% | 5 |
| 426d | the5 | ↑ 5000 | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 426d | stonksgoup | ↑ 4900 | SellYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | −$1,560 −108% | — |
| 426d | stonksgoup2 fills | ↑ 4900 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $5,797 | +$3,242 +56% | 3 |
| 426d | 0xd5f5…ea4e2 fills | ↓ 4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,460 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 426d | Shahhh22 fills | ↑ 4900 | SellNo58¢ → 0¢ | $4,519 | +$4,519 +100% | — |
| 426d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | ↓ 3800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,725 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 426d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | ↓ 4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,739 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 426d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | ↓ 4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,159 | +$37 +0.3% | 2 |
| 426d | AZwater | ↑ 5200 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 2 |
| 427d |  MisterClippy | ↑ 4900 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,392 | −$1,392 −100% | 3 |
| 427d | chuanshangxue | ↑ 4900 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $4,253 | +$2,290 +54% | 3 |
| 427d | stonksgoup | ↑ 5000 | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,107 | −$1,107 −100% | 3 |
| 427d | Shahhh2 | ↑ 5000 | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,840 | +$1,840 +100% | — |
| 427d |  KingCobraTate | ↓ 4000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,254 | −$46 −2.0% | — |
| 427d | Shahhh2 | ↑ 5000 | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,480 | −$2,480 −100% | 6 |
| 427d | 3456apple | ↓ 4000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,847 | −$153 −4.0% | — |
| 427d | Zigzag-Overclocking | ↑ 4700 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | +$662 +45% | 3 |
| 427d | 0xa95bfdb | ↑ 4700 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | +$1,008 +72% | 3 |
| 427d | 0xa95bfdb | ↑ 4600 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,329 | +$736 +32% | 3 |
| 427d | 0xa95bfdb | ↑ 4500 | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 3 |
| 427d | Ordon | ↑ 4400 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 427d | 0xa95bfdb2 fills | ↑ 4400 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,720 | +$1,080 +29% | 3 |
| 427d | 0xd5f5…ea4e | ↓ 4000 | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | +$1,080 +100% | — |
| 427d | 0xd5f5…ea4e | ↓ 3800 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | +$330 +12% | 2 |
| 427d | 0xd5f5…ea4e | ↑ 4400 | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $3,926 | −$3,926 −100% | 3 |
| 427d | popravkin777 | ↓ 4000 | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | −$289 −24% | — |
| 428d | Shahhh2 | ↑ 4400 | SellYes45¢ → 100¢ | $8,728 | −$10,513 −120% | — |
| 428d | 0xa95bfdb | ↑ 4400 | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,332 | −$1,332 −100% | 3 |
| 429d | Shahhh2 | ↑ 4400 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | +$270 +9.9% | 2 |
| 429d | 0xa95bfdb2 fills | ↓ 3800 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,280 | +$720 +14% | 2 |
| 429d | shania | ↑ 4400 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$1,014 +72% | 3 |
| 429d | shania | ↓ 4000 | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 3 |
What price will Ethereum hit August 18-24?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 5000 means the market gives it about 0%.
