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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3,750 | 0% | −63 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3,500 | 100% | +48 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $4,000 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,250 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3,250 | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $2,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3,000 | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $2,750 | 100% | +26 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692d | LoseOnly | $4,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,509 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | jam516 | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,753 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 692d |  Dr.Awkcab | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | TonaAl | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,695 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 692d |  Chanqua | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,454 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | Fractality | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $37,324 | −$37 −0.1% | — |
| 692d |  GGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG2 fills | $3,750 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,287 | −$398 −6.3% | — |
| 692d | ZirWilliam | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $24,326 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | Grubby-Picturesque | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | Samuellim | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,499 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 692d |  Debosnys | $4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,795 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 692d |  GenevaSun | $4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,200 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 692d | Rainiak | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,394 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,004 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 692d |  h.x74 fills | $3,750 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $20,925 | −$5,564 −27% | — |
| 692d | leiger | $3,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 692d | Jubao | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,285 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 692d | Rainiak3 fills | $4,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $23,048 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | vuhalfhudzaovolkhawtdfgt | $3,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,793 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 692d | Lucasmeow2 | $3,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,132 | +$52 +0.2% | 2 |
| 692d | Rainiak10 fills | $3,750 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $49,293 | +$1,365 +2.8% | 2 |
| 692d |  Circus-99520 fills | $3,750 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $25,148 | +$2,666 +11% | 2 |
| 692d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec27 fills | $3,750 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $99,352 | +$4,407 +4.4% | 2 |
| 692d |  jianersky | $4,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,183 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | SadMan | $3,750 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,386 | +$17 +0.5% | 2 |
| 692d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec7 fills | $3,750 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $32,811 | −$2,122 −6.5% | — |
| 692d | bingodecuba8 fills | $3,750 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $17,237 | −$4,630 −27% | — |
| 692d |  BradleyWellingtonTheThird | $3,750 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 692d |  VegemiteLover2 | $3,750 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 692d | xvn2 fills | $3,750 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $46,592 | −$6,347 −14% | — |
| 692d | bingodecuba9 fills | $3,750 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $23,173 | +$4,255 +18% | 2 |
| 692d |  ronm2382 fills | $3,750 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $14,601 | −$1,079 −7.4% | — |
| 692d | Fractality3 fills | $3,750 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $39,447 | +$1,610 +4.1% | 2 |
| 692d | ItamarBleinad | $4,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,135 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | oracle0019 | $3,750 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | −$56 −2.9% | — |
| 692d | SadMan | $4,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,874 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | jam516 | $3,750 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,673 | +$52 +3.1% | 2 |
| 692d | bigwinnn | $3,750 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | −$68 −4.7% | — |
| 692d | Khan14072 fills | $3,750 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$460 +2.3% | 2 |
| 692d | Sailo | $4,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,547 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | tsekinming01 | $3,750 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | −$128 −8.7% | — |
| 692d |  cashisking12 | $3,750 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,743 | −$73 −4.2% | — |
| 692d | Lucasmeow22 fills | $4,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $119,430 | +$1,145 +1.0% | 2 |
| 692d | cashisking12 | $3,750 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$21 +2.0% | 2 |
| 692d | Moj | $3,750 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$16 +1.3% | 2 |
| 692d | DarkVelvet | $3,750 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,655 | −$33 −2.0% | — |
| 692d |  superunderdog0830 | $3,750 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | −$17 −1.3% | — |
| 692d | oracle0019 | $3,750 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$44 +2.2% | 2 |
| 692d | jindian7 | $3,750 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,473 | +$281 +2.2% | 2 |
| 692d |  uncleroger2 fills | $3,750 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,833 | +$466 +9.6% | 2 |
| 692d | Economancy2 fills | $3,750 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $38,724 | +$945 +2.4% | 2 |
| 692d | Twentytwo-262 | $4,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,018 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 692d | Economancy2 fills | $2,250 | SellNo>99¢ | $19,004 | −$64 −0.3% | — |
| 692d | Pucciotto97 | $3,750 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,664 | +$172 +2.6% | 2 |
| 692d | fiddycents2 fills | $3,750 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,958 | −$501 −8.4% | — |
| 692d | Rookieoftheyear2 fills | $3,750 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,941 | −$268 −5.4% | — |
| 692d | adepo | $3,750 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,629 | −$49 −3.0% | — |
| 692d | MiniCasdy | $3,750 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$40 +2.6% | 2 |
| 692d | ManGuyDudeFella | $3,750 | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | −$1,003 −100% | 2 |
| 692d | superunderdog0830 | $3,750 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | +$42 +3.3% | 2 |
This is a market group over what prices Ethereum will hit in November, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $3,750 means the market gives it about 0%.