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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2750 | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $3000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2250 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722d | PaulSadleir | $2250 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,090 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 722d | Yifan3 fills | $2250 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $32,121 | +$2,062 +6.4% | 2 |
| 722d | 999two | $3000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,589 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 722d | Lucrat1ve2 fills | $2250 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,734 | −$23 −0.5% | — |
| 722d | char152 fills | $2250 | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $3,269 | −$969 −30% | — |
| 722d | 500pinigu | $2000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 723d | Ahong | $2250 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,318 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 723d | JAX3 | $3000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 723d | Gimmaer | $3000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,778 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 723d | dda6 | $3000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,505 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 723d | AZwater2 fills | $3000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,608 | +$33 +0.9% | 2 |
| 723d | SadMan | $3000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,133 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 723d |  0xsuipizza | $3000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,231 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 723d | dda6 | $3000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 723d | sdfsdfaaa | $2250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 723d | tsekinming014 fills | $3000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $121,238 | +$937 +0.8% | 2 |
| 723d | Judge77772 fills | $3000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,502 | +$104 +1.0% | 2 |
| 723d | Gimmaer2 fills | $2250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,954 | +$46 +0.2% | 2 |
| 723d | Lucasmeow22 fills | $3000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $26,567 | +$561 +2.1% | 2 |
| 723d | Lucasmeow22 fills | $2000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,925 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 724d | wasusdas | $2250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,856 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 724d | Moetus | $3000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,715 | +$29 +1.7% | 2 |
| 724d | 0xsuipizza2 fills | $3000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,184 | +$52 +2.4% | 2 |
| 724d |  Artpod | $3000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$30 −2.9% | — |
| 724d | tsekinming013 fills | $2250 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $185,143 | +$3,494 +1.9% | 2 |
| 724d | 61b4 | $2250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,164 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 724d | cansupermuay2 fills | $2250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,475 | +$34 +0.4% | 2 |
| 724d | tsekinming01 | $3000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $23,986 | −$996 −4.2% | — |
| 724d | cebularz | $2000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,709 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 724d | BobbyAxelrod2 fills | $2250 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $81,442 | +$844 +1.0% | 2 |
| 724d | AZwater3 fills | $2250 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,349 | +$251 +1.7% | 2 |
| 724d |  EastBoat | $2250 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | −$18 −1.3% | — |
| 724d | char15 | $3000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,036 | −$92 −3.0% | — |
| 724d | jhgdgf | $2250 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,206 | −$86 −2.0% | — |
| 724d | EastBoat | $2250 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$30 +2.0% | 2 |
| 724d | S123 | $2250 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$60 +2.0% | 2 |
| 724d | char15 | $3000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$81 +4.0% | 2 |
| 724d | Gimmaer2 fills | $2000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,057 | +$105 +0.9% | 2 |
| 724d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | $3000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,675 | −$327 −5.8% | — |
| 725d |  SAMF | $3000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,528 | −$291 −5.3% | — |
| 725d | BobbyAxelrod | $2000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,903 | +$15 +0.8% | 2 |
| 725d |  FungibleEther | $2250 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$28 −2.7% | — |
| 725d | napsortow | $3000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | +$128 +4.3% | 2 |
| 725d | Madera | $2250 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,619 | +$115 +2.0% | 2 |
| 725d | Niezname | $2250 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,777 | +$57 +2.0% | 2 |
| 725d | secp | $2250 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$61 +2.0% | 2 |
| 725d | Bitkon | $3000 | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 9 |
| 725d | Holl.ow47 | $2250 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,788 | −$51 −2.9% | — |
| 725d | Majneklej | $2000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$24 +0.6% | 2 |
| 725d | 521luce5 | $3000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | +$80 +3.2% | 2 |
| 725d | Neonview9 fills | $3000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $73,478 | +$5,830 +7.9% | 2 |
| 725d | Ayeye | $2250 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 2 |
| 725d | Dit269782 fills | $2250 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $9,504 | +$988 +10% | 2 |
| 725d | Unknw6 fills | $2250 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $26,231 | −$3,109 −12% | — |
| 725d | DumbLuck-583 | $2250 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 2 |
| 725d | sdfsdfaaa2 fills | $2000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $40,000 | +$612 +1.5% | 2 |
| 725d |  Circus-995 | $3000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,755 | −$244 −3.1% | — |
| 726d | Yifan | $2000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $33,984 | +$553 +1.6% | 2 |
| 726d | kookkai | $2250 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$299 +15% | 3 |
| 726d | Unknw | $2250 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $25,526 | +$3,814 +15% | 3 |
This is a market group over what prices Ethereum will hit in October, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $2750 means the market gives it about 100%.