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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 3,900 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 4,000 | 100% | +91 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 4,800 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 4,100 | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 3,800 | 100% | +98 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 4,400 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 4,200 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 5,200 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 4,900 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 4,300 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 5,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 5,100 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 4,700 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 4,600 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376d |  SappySeal67 | ↑ 4,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,774 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d | SappySeal67 | ↑ 4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,817 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d | ybiyu | ↑ 4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,115 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d | mengmengda | ↑ 4,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,465 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 376d | fadacai882 fills | ↑ 4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,227 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 376d | Matelleti | ↑ 5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d | AZwater3 fills | ↑ 4,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,415 | +$34 +0.3% | 2 |
| 376d |  borabora-836 | ↑ 5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,403 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d | hgf332 | ↑ 5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,307 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | Bladen | ↑ 5,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,336 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | Aseneca | ↑ 5,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,336 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d |  prescient | ↑ 5,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,053 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | qianqi | ↑ 5,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,047 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | bbxiaobb | ↑ 5,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,102 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | YoungZhu2 fills | ↑ 5,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,139 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | DeltaZ2 fills | ↑ 5,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,136 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 377d | pppaa | ↑ 5,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,129 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | paida-888 | ↑ 5,200 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 377d | paida-888 | ↑ 5,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,478 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | abci88 | ↑ 4,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,091 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 378d | CryptoYieldGuy | ↑ 5,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,016 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | heart9527 | ↑ 5,200 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,946 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 378d | fomod | ↓ 3,800 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,808 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 378d |  AgricultureSecretary3 fills | ↓ 3,900 | SellYes>99¢ | $47,572 | −$48 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | Ordon | ↓ 3,800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,603 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d |  nasa22 | ↓ 3,800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,517 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 378d | getbipped5 fills | ↓ 3,800 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $12,479 | +$7,122 +57% | 3 |
| 378d |  50StackSteve | ↓ 3,900 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c204 fills | ↓ 3,800 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $6,148 | +$3,382 +55% | 3 |
| 378d | getbipped | ↓ 3,800 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 |
| 378d | Eick | ↓ 3,900 | SellYes100¢ | $1,503 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 378d | aadvark | ↓ 3,800 | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$1,088 +107% | 3 |
| 378d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | ↓ 3,900 | BuyYes>99¢ | $110,206 | +$110 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | 0x7846e489e11c7D2b9d6C15a955c1DF93D041C02 fills | ↓ 3,900 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,318 | +$62 +1.2% | 2 |
| 378d | getbipped3 fills | ↓ 3,900 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $8,397 | +$2,503 +30% | 3 |
| 378d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c203 fills | ↓ 3,900 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $6,086 | +$3,914 +64% | 3 |
| 378d | aadvark | ↓ 3,900 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$483 +48% | 3 |
| 378d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 4,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $96,535 | +$97 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | c38c2 fills | ↓ 4,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | 0x7846e489e11c7D2b9d6C15a955c1DF93D041C0 | ↓ 4,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,545 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | getbipped | ↓ 4,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,925 | +$975 +33% | 3 |
| 378d | AZwater | ↑ 5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,844 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 378d | getbipped | ↓ 4,000 | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,993 | −$1,993 −100% | 4 |
| 378d |  WaitHope | ↓ 4,000 | SellNo39¢ → 0¢ | $2,192 | +$2,192 +100% | — |
| 378d |  SigmaSentinel | ↓ 3,900 | SellYes19¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$4,812 −422% | — |
| 378d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | ↓ 4,000 | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$1,611 +116% | 3 |
| 378d | WaitHope | ↓ 4,100 | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 3 |
| 378d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | ↓ 4,100 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$1,380 +85% | 3 |
| 378d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | ↓ 4,200 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$1,240 +45% | 3 |
| 378d | elPolloLoco | ↓ 4,200 | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | −$1,190 −52% | — |
| 378d | getbipped3 fills | ↓ 4,200 | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $4,505 | −$4,505 −100% | 5 |
| 378d | WaitHope2 fills | ↓ 4,200 | SellNo25¢ → 0¢ | $2,667 | +$2,667 +100% | — |
| 379d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | ↓ 4,200 | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $2,840 | −$2,840 −100% | 3 |
| 379d | getbipped2 fills | ↓ 4,100 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $4,295 | −$4,295 −100% | 2 |
| 379d | getbipped | ↓ 4,200 | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | +$2,660 +203% | 3 |
| 379d | mightyloser | ↓ 4,300 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,601 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 379d | choohkz23 | ↓ 4,200 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | +$1,170 +64% | 3 |
| 379d | QQQDAN | ↓ 4,300 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,024 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 379d | QQQDAN | ↓ 4,300 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$41 +2.0% | 2 |
| 379d | getbipped3 fills | ↑ 4,800 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,210 | +$290 +5.6% | 2 |
What price will Ethereum hit October 6-12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 3,900 means the market gives it about 100%.