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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 1,900 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,200 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,150 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,100 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,050 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,950 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,850 | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,800 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,750 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,700 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,650 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,600 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,550 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79d | Mizukaze3 fills | ↓ 1,850 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,215 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | Mizukaze | ↑ 1,950 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,529 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | onlyhit | ↑ 1,950 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,419 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 79d | onlyhit | ↓ 1,850 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,563 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 79d | getbipped | ↑ 1,950 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | +$871 +57% | 4 |
| 79d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 1,900 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$798 +45% | 4 |
| 79d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 1,950 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,898 | +$172 +5.9% | 2 |
What price will Ethereum hit on August 5?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 1,900 means the market gives it about 100%.