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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 1,600 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,900 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,850 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,800 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,750 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,700 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,650 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,550 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,500 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,450 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,400 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,350 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,300 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,250 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114d |  Leisurely2 fills | ↑ 1,650 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,430 | +$29 +0.7% | 2 |
| 114d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 1,650 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,085 | +$16 +0.5% | 2 |
| 114d |  gebilaowang | ↓ 1,550 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,160 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d | IH2P | ↑ 1,650 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,839 | +$421 +15% | 3 |
| 114d | Mizukaze | ↓ 1,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,206 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d | getbipped2 fills | ↑ 1,650 | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $4,003 | +$2,357 +59% | 4 |
| 114d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 1,650 | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,151 | −$1,151 −100% | 4 |
| 115d | Leisurely | ↓ 1,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,159 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 115d |  GoodLuck688863 fills | ↓ 1,450 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,545 | +$165 +1.7% | 2 |
| 115d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 1,500 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | +$270 +9.9% | 3 |
| 115d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 1,400 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,583 | +$77 +1.0% | 2 |
| 115d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 1,450 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,274 | +$126 +1.5% | 2 |
What price will Ethereum hit on July 1?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 1,600 means the market gives it about 100%.