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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 1,800 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,100 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,050 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,950 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,900 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,850 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,750 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,700 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,650 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,600 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,550 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,500 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,450 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111d |  Leisurely | ↓ 1,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,350 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 111d | Leisurely | ↑ 1,850 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,066 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 111d |  gebilaowang | ↓ 1,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,225 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 111d | ghfghjyguinmjn | ↓ 1,650 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,042 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | dertfgdftguynhguk | ↓ 1,650 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,043 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | tyfyuhghvbngh | ↓ 1,650 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,047 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | gghytyyhgfyu | ↓ 1,650 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,044 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | fg65ghfygy | ↓ 1,650 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,046 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | dvfretbfgtyfr | ↓ 1,650 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,045 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | reerdfxccbfgs | ↓ 1,650 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,043 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | tyftuyufgygfgdt | ↓ 1,650 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,047 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | wertrtytfyuyugh | ↓ 1,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,048 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | ewrtertyuhgujyft | ↓ 1,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,042 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | dredttrtdytbn | ↓ 1,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,048 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | rtfghrtyffgh | ↓ 1,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,045 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | syedgsdfhtdrh | ↓ 1,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,043 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | seytsgdfhdf | ↓ 1,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,047 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 111d | yershdfjftg | ↓ 1,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,044 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 112d | Humongous-Fly | ↑ 1,800 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | Humongous-Fly | ↑ 1,800 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 112d |  GoodLuck68886 | ↓ 1,700 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 112d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 1,800 | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,124 | −$1,124 −100% | 4 |
| 112d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 1,800 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$201 +13% | 3 |
What price will Ethereum hit on July 4?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 1,800 means the market gives it about 100%.