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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 2,600 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,650 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,450 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,400 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,750 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,700 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,350 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,200 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,300 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,250 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,800 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,850 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,550 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | ↑ 2,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | ↑ 2,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | Tianhe2 fills | ↑ 2,600 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,204 | +$30 +0.7% | 2 |
| 11d | ↑ 2,600 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,386 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 11d | 0xd615…ae32 | ↓ 2,450 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,736 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | duneprod1 | ↓ 2,450 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,432 | +$22 +0.3% | 2 |
| 11d | chet010 | ↑ 2,600 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 11d | ↑ 2,600 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,423 | +$17 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 11d | getbipped | ↓ 2,450 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,229 | −$1,229 −100% | 5 |
| 11d | never-stop-clicking | ↓ 2,500 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,206 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | duneprod1 | ↓ 2,500 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,103 | +$165 +7.9% | 2 |
| 11d | Elastic-Mime | ↓ 2,450 | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,279 | −$1,279 −100% | 2 |
What price will Ethereum hit on October 12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 2,600 means the market gives it about 0%.