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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 2,500 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,400 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,350 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,250 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,550 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,600 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,300 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,700 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,650 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,450 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,750 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,200 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,150 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,100 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | Sharky69993 fills | ↓ 2,250 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,510 | +$90 +2.6% | 2 |
| 7d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 2,250 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,095 | +$185 +3.6% | 2 |
| 8d |  betfuture.eth | ↑ 2,500 | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,344 | +$1,344 +100% | — |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 2,500 | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,348 | −$1,348 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 2,350 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,748 | +$152 +3.2% | 2 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 2,400 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,675 | −$1,675 −100% | 3 |
What price will Ethereum hit on October 16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 2,500 means the market gives it about 0%.