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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 2,500 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,350 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,300 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,550 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,450 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,400 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,250 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,200 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,600 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,150 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,750 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,700 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,650 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,100 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | Tianhe | ↑ 2,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$23 +0.9% | 2 |
| 5d | ↑ 2,550 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,390 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 5d | magcidwa | ↑ 2,550 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 5d | Tokor | ↓ 2,300 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,917 | +$361 +12% | 3 |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 2,300 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,671 | +$359 +7.7% | 2 |
| 5d | duneprod1 | ↓ 2,350 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$25 +2.0% | 2 |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 2,350 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $4,980 | +$2,602 +52% | 4 |
| 5d | getbipped | ↑ 2,450 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$432 +22% | 3 |
| 6d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 2,400 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$544 +52% | 4 |
What price will Ethereum hit on October 18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 2,500 means the market gives it about 0%.