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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $525 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $540 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $375 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $480 | 100% | +33 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $510 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $450 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $330 | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $570 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $285 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $345 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $315 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $420 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $405 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $435 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $465 | 100% | +10 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $510 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $390 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $510 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $555 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $585 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $435 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $300 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $390 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $600 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $405 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $495 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $450 | 100% | +14 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $360 | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $420 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $480 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $465 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $480 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
bjprolo8 sharesWhat will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in August 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $525 means the market gives it about 0%.