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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $480 | 100% | +11 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $630 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $593 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $563 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $533 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $510 | 0% | −47 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $495 | 0% | −14 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $465 | 0% | −2 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $450 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $435 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $413 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $390 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $360 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $323 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d | FEDchair | ↑ $495 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,573 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d |  Debosnys | ↓ $465 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,414 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | Debosnys | ↑ $510 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | FEDchair | ↑ $533 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,084 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | FEDchair | ↓ $450 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,251 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | FEDchair | ↓ $435 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,078 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | FEDchair | ↓ $413 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,886 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  MasonLuca | ↓ $360 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,397 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  FelixNoah | ↓ $360 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,395 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  GraceLeo | ↓ $390 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,392 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  ChloeOlivia | ↓ $390 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,402 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  Sofia-Emma | ↓ $360 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,405 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  Hebeen | ↓ $360 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,415 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | ryhturuer | ↓ $390 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,478 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | RYRTYURTU | ↓ $390 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,420 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | ryrtutyurtuy | ↓ $360 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,539 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | sryhryry | ↓ $323 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | DFHGDRYH | ↓ $323 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,386 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | sertfgrdyh46dfg7 | ↑ $563 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,153 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | Severe-Space | ↑ $630 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,160 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | sdfdffsfsa3 | ↑ $630 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,119 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | dasffzzs | ↑ $630 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,144 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  Gurupolimarket | ↑ $593 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,868 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | Gurupolimarket | ↑ $630 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,963 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | oipjgcxrf | ↑ $533 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,092 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 296d | oipjgcxrf | ↓ $450 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 325d | MistahFox | ↑ $480 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,880 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in December 2025?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ $480 means the market gives it about 100%.