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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $510 | 80% | +5 pts | +19 pts | 62¢ · 99¢ (37¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $465 | 8% | −2 pts | −9 pts | 6¢ · 10¢ (4¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $405 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $600 | 4% | −3 pts | −6 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $615 | 3% | −2 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $450 | 3% | −3 pts | −5 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $420 | 1% | — | −2 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $480 | 19% | −6 pts | −6 pts | 16¢ · 21¢ (5¢) | $205 | in 8d |
| ↑ $570 | 17% | −1 pts | −10 pts | 16¢ · 18¢ (2¢) | $138 | in 8d |
| ↑ $585 | 9% | +1 pts | −9 pts | 7¢ · 11¢ (4¢) | $103 | in 8d |
| ↓ $435 | 3% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | $35.3 | in 8d |
| ↓ $495 | 66% | +22 pts | +26 pts | 34¢ · 97¢ (63¢) | $31 | in 8d |
| ↑ $555 | 30% | −6 pts | −21 pts | 26¢ · 33¢ (7¢) | $23.3 | in 8d |
| ↑ $630 | 2% | −2 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $20 | in 8d |
| ↑ $540 | 56% | −4 pts | −18 pts | 50¢ · 62¢ (12¢) | $18.2 | in 8d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 80¢ for ↓ $510 means the market gives it about 80%.